Week 15 Fantasy Football Predictions, Angels & Demons and Sleepers.
Week 15 Fantasy Football Predictions, Angels & Demons and Sleepers.
Chances are, if your actually reading this, then your still “alive” in your fantasy football playoffs. For me I am still in the playoffs for all 3 of my teams, which is amazing in its own special way. Last week was so explosive in that many usual suspects that deliver steady performances either dropped off or dropped dead. Either way, those players ended a lot of fantasy seasons last week.
I had Aaron Rodgers on one of my teams, but fortunately that is a 2 week round format and I also have Arian Foster and Malcolm Floyd & Jason Witten. It certainly helps to have a solid overall lineup and not face a team with a Darren McFadden or Matt Schaub.
Anyhow, as we look ahead at week 15 we can’t help get the phrase “Don’t get cute here” or our take, “Don’t outsmart yourself, as you were obviously dumb enough to get yourself this far.” So subbing in Mike Goodson against Arizona for Adrian Peterson facing the Chicago Bears is the definition of “Getting Cute” or “Too Smart for your own good”. Ask yourself who got you to where you are right now? Names like Drew Brees, Peyton Hillis, Roddy White, Jason Witten & the NYG defense should resonate through your empty head right about now.
That seems like a good segue to visit our ANGELs we believe will lead you to the promised land this week. *One final time* I won’t be placing obvious names on this list or at least too many obvious names. Some will seem obvious but have a perplexing matchup or dynamic to their game. (i.e. – Greg Jennings is a must start, but he might have Matt Flynn throwing to him & same goes for Larry Fitzgerald and John Skelton) Just Saying.
Week 15 – ANGELS
Jay Cutler – We think he redeems himself somewhat this week against Minnesota. After the debacle at home this past week against NE, he can only go up, and we think the Bears recall they have a good RB as well. OY Vey. How this team leads their division is mind boggling. Its like Jacksonville. Minus 3 last play insane endings, they are 5-8. The Jags have been outscored by their opponents by 36 points. At least Chicago is 4-0 in their division. We think Cutler solidifies the Bears hold on the division this week. UPDATE – This game is taking place on the Frozen OUTDOOR Tundra of Minnesota Gohpers stadium. We will Pass on Cutler in the nasty weather instead of a climate controlled cushy dome. Instead look for Josh Freeman here.
Jon Kitna – Should have a solid week against a fluid Washington Redskins Defense who although they looked solid last week at home, will have less in the tank at Dallas this week. We think Kitna delivers a little special something under your tree.
Adrian Peterson – If Tavaris starts, Adrian is most likely affected negatively, but then you whisper to yourself, “Its ALL-DAY Peterson” and you remember he is a must start, because… “Did Adrian peterson get me here?” You bet your sweet patutie he did, even if the weather sucks, he is scratched up. UPDATE – I consider Peterson the F-150 of Running Backs.
Matt Forte – He does face Minnesota Run defense which is no laughing matter. But he can catch, and since we are on board for Cutler, we think Forte gets that secondary love.
LaGarrette Blount – Off the Sleeper list! Against Detroit, he should do work. Get past Suh and he should break the goal line.
Jonathan Stewart – Faces Arizona defense that loves to allow running yards to opposing RB’s. Should do well this week.
Ryan Torain – He is the guy, whatever that means in Washington. Your playing with fire here and you’ve been warned. He could be 1 of 3 things this week. A solid performer with 100+ and a score, a whelming kind of RB 60+/- yds with no score or lose you your championship by losing carries to Keiland and Davis. Good luck with that. UPDATE – A little nicked up, but still after last weeks performance, he must start, especially with Grossman as the QB, although look for 8 in the box.
Dwayne Bowe – But ONLY if Matt Cassel starts this week. If Brodie is under center, drop it like its hot, which may be D-Bowe’s motto when Brodie throws him the rock. Evidenced by the last 2 weeks ZERO points. UPDATE – We are sketchy on this pick to begin with. Even if Cassel makes it back, the Chiefs are going to run at least 60% of the time. You’ve been warned.
Miles Austin – Kitna is going to throw as Garrett wants to win and try to secure the head coaching gig. Who else is going to catch these passes, Ogletree? Martellus? I don’t think so. UPDATE – Dez is out, Roy Williams is Questionable leaving Austin. May have double coverage, but we can see 5 catches for 80 and a score.
Wes Welker – If you own him, your already starting him, but against a stout Green Bay defense that is going to be on the field a lot longer then usual, as unsure if Matt Flynn starts for GB at QB and they seem to have no running attack even though they have 6 RB’s. Welker goes to his happy place…the slot. (Insert crude joke here.)
Pierre Garcon – He got moved from our sleeper list to our ANGELS list. Its like going from the practice squad to the starting lineup. In Pierre we trust!
Mike Williams & Mike Williams 2.0 – Both WR’s have good matchups this week, but more importantly, if Mike Williams 2.0, the grunge version plays as he almost did this past week, he should have the better day. Tampa Bay has a few weapons like Winslow, Benn, Cadillac catching out of the backfield, where Seattle has squadooosh!
Jason Witten – He will produce this week against TE friendly Washington… lets say 9-12 points.
Browns DST & Patriots DST – Solely on matchups. Browns face Cincinnati and Pats face GB with Rodgers…Maybe.
The Usual Suspects wont be on here. Just some new players who will break your heart and leave you out of the money and reeling.
Matt Hasselbeck – Especially if Mike Williams comes back. They will need MW to replace Deon Butler who is out. Its now or never for Hasselbeck. We thinks never.
Joe Flacco – New Orleans is sneaky good on defense and the team is firing on almost all cynlinders. Baltimore might find tough conditions, even at home. Ray Rice might represent, but we think Flacco leaves a bit to be desired.
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Facing a surprisingly stout Miami Defense isn’t a situation we want our Fitzy involved in. UPDATE – Fitzy is looking a little better as every additional QB for other teams is ruled out, game-time decision or placed on IR/bench…. i.e. McNabb we are looking at you and Cassel.
Mark Sanchez – Facing Pittsburgh defense and he seems to have forgotten how to actually play football. He is the next Joe Namath though, allegedly. UPDATE – Troy Polamalu is out for this game, so Sanchez’s stock just rose a point.
Drew Stanton – Its Drew Stanton. Even though Tampa Bay is banged up on defense, I just don’t believe in Stanton. UPDATE – Drew is looking a little better as every additional QB for other teams is ruled out, game-time decision or placed on IR/bench…. i.e. McNabb we are looking at you and Cassel.
Tavaris Jackson – Even with the weapons this guy is given… AP, Sidney Rice and maybe Percy Harvin, he will underwhelm for your team. UPDATE – Jackson is on IR and out for the year. Favre is crusty and most likely out, so Volcano Joe Webb has been named the starter. Just close your eyes and imagine the name above is Joe Webb versus Tavaris.
Kyle Orton – Even though they are playing Oakland. The vaunted Oakland passing defense is a legend of yesteryear. I.E. – Jacksonville and Pittsburgh and San Diego I vs Oakland. I rest my case. WARNING * Orton is a risky play, but you already knew that. UPDATE – Orton might not play much if at all. Tebow has taken the majority of first team snaps.
LeSean McCoy – I jumped on his bandwagon for the first time about 4 weeks ago. I’m officially jumping back off. I see nothing but bad fantasy performance here. I’m probably biased and he will catch 6 for 80 with a score, but in my gut, i think he goes for closer to 8 to 12 points..total. The only things named “Le” are “LeCar” and “LeCreuset” (which is a plate maker) and the infamous “Pontiac LeMans”.
Cedric Benson – Look. If you can’t help yourself, I certainly cannot help you. If you find yourself in the semi-finals or championship and you are contemplating using Cedric Benson, do yourself a favor and just send me your next season’s leagues’ dues in a check to my work address. I’ll gladly take your donation for the advice I give. I’m the Madame Cleo of Fantasy Football jibberish.
Rashad Jennings – I understand he has a TD in three straight games and he is facing the Colts non-existent run defense. Please tell me you’ve heard of Mojo (aka – Maurice Jones-Drew). If not, please spend the next 3 hours quietly meditating on how you ever made it this far. Rashad may get some carries and he may accumulate some yards, but we just don’t see 4 in a row for this backup.
Steve Johnson – Hello #1 WR coverage. I think Cameron Wake will be so far up Ryan Fitzpatrick’s posterior that Fred Jackson will get more targets then Steve Johnson.
Anquan Boldin – Derrick Mason better get this guy a nice watch or a gold chain with the trinket of “Decoy” on it. ‘Quan will draw top coverage against stingy New Orleans and others will grow fat and happy.
Hines Ward – Don’t trust him this week against pissed off Jets defense. Plus, Roethlisberger has looked banged up as well. Its gonna be a lot of Heath Miller & Rashard Mendenhall. UPDATE – Likely to be sipping Mojitos on Revis Island this weekend.
Antonio Gates – Chances are he won’t be playing much if at all, and even if he does play next week or the week after, you won’t care by then. I’m sure that you, like me, have eaten up a deserved roster spot in hopes that AG makes it back, but just like in Old Yeller, its time to grab the gun and take Gates out back. “Thanks for always being there, doc.” <— points if you know the movie this quote is from. Let me know on Twitter at @seandreznin
Packers DST – We are down this defense ONLY if Aaron Rodgers is OUT. If A-Rod plays then start GB Def.
Olindo Mare – Been on a downward point slide for the past 3 weeks and facing an Atlanta juggernaut doesn’t make this very attractive.
Kerry Collins – With Chris Johnson in the backfield and Kenny Britt back and of course everyone’s favorite “Decoy”, Randy Moss loitering about 5 yards off the line of scrimmage, we see a solid fantasy effort here.
Colt McCoy – If he starts (He is the confirmed Starter for the remainder of the season (12/16/)) then he is a sleeper against Cincy Defense.
Tim Hightower – If you need a filler RB, you could do worse. Last week was a gift, this week could be similar. Enjoy it while it lasts… two weeks from now he could be fumbling 3 times and Beanie to the rescue!
Javarris James – I put him on here again, because if he gets you 8-10 points, are you going to complain?
One borrowed sleeper, is this. Either Louis Murphy or Jacoby Ford (whomever does not draw Champ Bailey). May the force be with you.
Sidney Rice – He’s back and this time he brought Tavaris! Oy. Still he’s solid.
Kenny Britt – He’s got his boy Collins making it rain down on him, not R.Kelly style, more Pacman Jones style. Moving on.
Vincent Jackson – Keep up with the practice/injury reports, but if he goes, he should deliver some points. (12/17 UPDATE – BOOM! Nailed it! Too bad I had a Christmas party and left Malcolm Floyd in on one team = ZERO DNP) GRINCH!
Bo Scaife & Owen Daniels – Its all about the QB in one case, and reclaiming a starting gig on a high powered 2nd half offense.
Dallas DST / Dolphins DST / Oakland DST – All Matchup based guesses.
As for our SRQ 2010 league predictions.
Here goes the quick breakdown:
In the 9th place game;
TEBOW – 99 vs. HOT TUB – 70
In the 7th place matchup;
Calvin & Da Munks – 119 vs. Rooster – 117
In the 5th place contest;
BenBowski – 101 vs. Team RC – 121
In the 3rd place, Runner Up Game;
Cassel Fit for a King – 78 vs. Manning & Rivers, Inc. – 119
Finally, in the Battle Royale, Season 2 Conquest….
A Cool Winters Brees (11-3) Highest scoring team in league
Team EV’s All-Stars (10-4) Winners of 8 in a row
Looking at each teams rosters we notice that most players have nice matchups, which could result in a real slug it out points fest!
So much depends on weather conditions and little variables but the bottom line is this. Based on the projected season long averages, ESPN has Brees winning 142-120 over EV.
We call it a touch closer. 134 – 127 with the crown going to….
…We’ll just have to play it out and see who the winning team is.
Good luck to all teams and its been a hell of a season. We have some things to iron out for next season, but I would also suggest some fun additions as well. Maybe a ridiculous trophy and/or presentation, a punishment for the worst team, cash prizes for things like most points scored all season/ in a game / etc, etc, etc… All in all, a lot of fun. I hope you enjoyed it as well, and let me know if you’d like to see more of something or less of something in these write ups.